Service Plays Monday 5/17/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the day: Phoenix Suns at L.A. Lakers

Two streaking teams meet in the Western Conference finals. The Lakers are looking to repeat as NBA champions while the Suns haven’t been in the Finals since 1993. Both teams swept their last playoff series.

There is rest for the weary

While many teams complain about long layoffs in between playoff series, the Lakers hope to benefit from the extra time off.

The Lakers haven’t played in a week but the rest will surely be good for Kobe Bryant who has been nursing ankle, finger and knee injuries. Bryant hasn’t practiced all week and may not practice at all the rest of the postseason.

Sasha Vujacic said he’s ready to play after missing the first 10 games of the playoffs with a sprained ankle. Ron Artest and Shannon Brown also said they’re feeling better after suffering nagging injuries.

Lakers coach Phil Jackson said he may complain about the layoff after the game, depending on how well his team plays, but for the most part he’s happy about it.

Series price

The Lakers are generally a 3-1 favorite to win the series checking in at -340 at some offshore points. The Lakers winning the series in five games is the shortest price of the game odds. You can get 30-1 if you think the Suns can sweep this one.

An aerial attack

The series will be greatly impacted from long range. The Suns are the best 3-point shooting team in the NBA. The Lakers are the best at defending the 3-pointer.

These teams met four times in the regular season with the Lakers winning three of them. The game they lost, Phoenix hit a dozen 3-pointers.

By the numbers, Phoenix finished 28-4 when they shoot at least 45 percent from 3-point range, while the Lakers went 12-0 when they limited opponents to under 40 percent shooting.

The X-factor

A lot of people think that the performance of Suns’ reserve Goran Dragic could be the difference-maker. That’s not the opinion here.

While Dragic had some scintillating moments against the Spurs (23 points in the fourth quarter of Game 4) it’s more likely that Grant Hill’s drive and desire will be the biggest factor.

Hill could erase a lot of disappointing moments in his NBA career with a big series here. He’s already shut down Andre Miller and Manu Ginobili and is sure to see a great deal of time shadowing Bryant.

Hill came back to Phoenix for this opportunity and it seems like it could very well be his last chance to get an NBA ring. At 37 years old, this is the first time that Hill has even won a playoff series and now he’s in the conference finals.

Injury report

Andrew Bynum said that his injured knee gradually is getting worse but he plans to play through the pain and swelling. Bynum has a small tear in his meniscus. He practiced fully on Saturday.

“He’s running with some limitations,” Jackson said. “He still looks good. It’s good to see him out there.”

Let’s face it, the Lakers have a lot of tread on the tires so they’re supposed to have some injury problems. Bryant, Artest, Brown, Vujacic are also fighting injuries and Pau Gasol has a sinus infection. Jackson expects them all to play.

For the Suns, Steve Nash still has some lingering issues with his eye after being elbowed by Tim Duncan in the last series. He’ll play.

Suns starting center Robin Lopez is expected to play after missing the entire playoffs thus far and the final 10 games of the regular season with a bulging disk in his back.

Trend-setting

The Lakers have won eight straight playoff games at home straight up.

The Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as underdogs and own the same mark in their last five as road dogs.

The Suns are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with winning percentage above .600

The under is 7-1-1 in the Suns’ last nine road games but the under has cashed the last four times they’ve had layoffs of three or more days.

The Lakers have covered the spread five of their last six games.

In head-to-head matchups the Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.

The over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in L.A.

 

[ugk]

PICK 'N' ROLL

Monday's Best NBA Bet

Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers (-6, 210.5)

It’s the playoffs so that must mean that Andrew Bynum is injured. Every regular season Bynum makes mincemeat out of opposing big men but then the postseason rolls around and he’s nursing some nagging injury.

The Lakers did have their young center two years ago in the Finals against the Celtics and he never looked comfortable coming back off a knee injury last playoffs.

This year it’s his knee. Torn cartilage in his right one has kept Bynum from practicing this week.

“It’s sore,” he told the Los Angeles Times. “It’s getting a little worse. But it hasn’t been affecting me, so I’m going to keep pushing hard.”

Bynum is the key for Los Angeles in this series against the Suns. The Lakers want to work the high-low post game and test Phoenix’s big fellas.

Bynum did next to nothing last series against the Jazz and if he says the knee is getting worse, he might look pretty awkward guarding Amare Stoudemire and Channing Frye.

Pick: Phoenix Suns

 

[ugk]

HOT LINES

Monday's Best MLB Bets

Colorado Rockies at Chicago Cubs (-150, Off)

Cubs manager Lou Piniella knows to give his team a swift kick in the backside when they need it, and the Cubs have been begging for one all season.

They finally got it before Sunday's game against the Pirates when Piniella blew his top with the underachieving, overpaid Cubbies. They promptly went out and took a 4-3 win over the Bucs - a small victory, but a much-needed one.

"We keep talking about at-bats for people. We talk about people needing to play. We talk about everything but winning baseball games," Piniella ranted to the media. "That's what the hell I want to talk about ... period."
Too bad he had to waste his tirade on the Bucs, but the butt-chewing should spill over against the Rockies, who are 8-21 in their last 29 at Wrigley Field.

Piniella's rippings have a history of sticking with his players for a while. Don't be surprised if the Cubs make a little mini-run in May before the June swoon.

Pick: Chicago Cubs


Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-200, 9.5)

The Yankees have added reinforcements to the relief staff for the Red Sox series by skipping Sunday's scheduled starter Javier Vazquez and sending him to the bullpen.

They might not need him Monday night, not the way starter Phil Hughes (5-0) has been throwing the ball lately. He is 3-0 in his last three outings with a minuscule 0.86 ERA.

That number includes a strong outing against the Red Sox last week when he scattered seven hits over seven innings with seven strikeouts and only two walks and earned runs.

Hughes was previously 0-2 with a 8.28 ERA against the BoSox but seems to have turned a new leaf against the AL East rivals, as have the Bronx Bombers.

The Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. Boston. If they used to be the Red Sox's daddy, they are quickly becoming their granddaddy.

Pick: NY Yankees

 

[Typhoon]

Burns
10* Lakers Under 210
10* GOW.....Cubs
Annilahator = Lakers
8* Oak
9* Balt

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Don Wallace Sports
NBA

4* Phoenix +6.5 over The Lakers

0-1 yesterday

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

papayagang pick of the day 5/17

Dodgers ML
Atlanta Ml 20* picks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Numero uno soccer capper

May profit +103,4 units
Thu 3-1 +28,5 units
Fri 0-4 -40 units
Sat 0-0
Sun 0-0

Monday
Girona - Hercules 2 (2,25)
Falkenbergs - Orgryte 2 (2,2)
KuPS - Jyvaskyla X(draw) (3,3)
Pandurii - Timisoara 1 (3,5)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

"Bulgarian Paid service"


Charlton Athletic - Swindon Town,win bet Charlton@1,95
CS Pandurii Targu Jiu - FC Timisoara ,win bet Timisoara@2,17
FC Otelul Galati - FC Vaslui,win bet Vaslui@2,01
AIK - Atvidabergs FF,win bet AIK@1,83
Örebro SK - Trelleborgs FF,win bet Örebro @1,70

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Blackhawks on Sunday.

Monday it's the Lakers. The deficit is 825 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo bounced back with the Phillies last night to partially offset the two afternoon trips he took down the drain with the Rangers and Padres.

Tonight, with the deficit at a mighty awful 405 slaughts, he's hoping to receive a Dutch treat from Holland -- 10 units on the Rangers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
446 - 325 run 58 %

Bonus Play Mon Chi Cubs -145

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Straight Up: 859-372 (.698)
ATS: 658-610 (.519)
ATS Vary Units: 1564-1467 (.516)
Over/Under: 630-646 (.494)
Over/Under Vary Units: 819-845 (.492)

Western Conference Playoffs, Finals
Game 1, best-of-7 series
L.A. LAKERS 106, Phoenix 105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

MONDAY, MAY 17

NBA PLAYOFFS

WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

Phoenix (8-2 SU and ATS) at L.A. Lakers (8-2, 6-4 ATS)

The defending NBA champion Lakers and the surging Suns, both fresh off second-round sweeps and having gotten a full week of rest, open the best-of-7 Western Conference finals at Staples Center. Phoenix is on a 22-4 SU spree in its last 26 games, going 19-6-1 ATS in that stretch. The third-seeded Suns got pushed to six games by No. 6 Portland in the first round, going 4-2 SU and ATS, then punished the seventh-seeded Spurs with a four-game SU and ATS sweep in the second round. Phoenix won Games 3 and 4 in San Antonio as a road underdog, finishing it off eight days ago with a 107-101 victory as a four-point pup. Amare Stoudemire had 29 points in the clincher, and Steve Nash had 20 points and nine assists in the finale. Jason Richardson (21.9 ppg) has been Phoenix’s top point producer in the playoffs, with Stoudemire (20.5) close behind. Nash is dealing out nine assists per game, third-best in the postseason but trailing only Boston’s Rajon Rondo (11.1) among players still remaining. Los Angeles, seeded first in the West, has won six in a row in the playoffs, taking the last two games SU and ATS in its six-game first-round series with pesky Oklahoma City before rolling over Utah in four straight (3-1 ATS). The Lakers closed out the Jazz last Monday with a 110-96 rout as a 3½-point road underdog, getting 33 points and 14 rebounds from Pau Gasol and 32 points from Kobe Bryant. Bryant is the fourth-leading scorer in the postseason, at 26.9 ppg, but the three ahead of him have already bowed out: Miami’s Dwyane Wade (33.2), Denver’s Carmelo Anthony (30.7) and Cleveland’s LeBron James (29.1). Gasol has put up 20.2 ppg along with 13.1 rebounds, second-best in the playoffs. Los Angeles went 3-1 SU and ATS in its four regular-season meetings with Phoenix this season, with the SU winner cashing in all four games. The Lakers are on further rolls against the Suns of 7-2 SU and 9-4 ATS. The home team is on a 5-1 ATS run, and the SU winner is 11-1 ATS in the last dozen matchups. Most recently, Los Angeles won 102-96 as a two-point road chalk on March 12.
These squads also met in the first round in 2006 and 2007, with Phoenix taking both series, rallying from a 3-1 deficit in ’06 while going 4-3 ATS, and rolling in five games in ’07 (2-3 ATS). The SU winner has cashed in all 10 of the Suns’ playoff games this year and in 19 in a row overall for Phoenix, and the SU winner is 8-2 ATS in L.A.’s 10 playoff contests. Phoenix is 26-20 SU (27-19 ATS) on the highway this season (4-1 SU and ATS in the postseason), averaging 107.2 ppg on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing a shade less at 106.1 ppg (45.6 percent). Los Angeles is 39-7 inside Staples Center this year, but just 19-25-2 ATS, despite outscoring the opposition by nearly nine ppg (103.7-95.0), shooting an even 46 percent and allowing 43.6 percent shooting. The Lakers are 5-0 SU (3-2 ATS) at home in the playoffs. The Suns are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after a break of three or more days, but they own a bevy of positive pointspread streaks, including 34-16-1 overall, 5-1 on the road, 5-0 as an underdog, 20-6 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, 19-6-1 after a spread-cover and 20-8-1 after a SU win. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall and 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU win, but they are otherwise in pointspread ruts of 5-11-1 at home (all as a chalk), 3-11 after a spread-cover, 2-8-1 on Monday and 3-8 against Pacific Division foes. Los Angeles is on a 6-1-1 “over” run in its last eight games, and the over has hit in five of its last seven as a favorite, but the Lakers are also on “under” stretches of 9-2 in the conference finals, 4-1 after three or more days off and 11-3 as a playoff chalk. Phoenix carries “under” streaks of 7-1-1 on the road, 6-1-1 as a favorite, 7-2 when getting five to 10½ points, 4-1 as a playoff ‘dog and 4-1 in the conference finals, though the over has cashed in the Suns’ last four games following three or more days’ rest. Finally, in this rivalry, the over/under split in this season’s four contests and has alternated in the last six meetings overall, with the March 12 contests in Phoenix falling well short of the 212½-point price. However, the total has gone high in eight of the last 11 series meetings at Staples Center.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. LAKERS


NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Francisco (21-15) at San Diego (22-15)

The Giants will try to take over first place in the N.L. West when they send veteran right-hander Matt Cain (2-2, 3.28 ERA) to the mound at Petco Park in San Diego against Padres’ lefty Clayton Richard (2-2, 3.21). After getting swept by the Padres at home to start last week, the Giants turned around and swept a three-game set from the Astros, capped by Sunday’s 4-3 victory. San Francisco is on streaks of 20-9 as a favorite, 19-7 in series openers, 6-2 as a road chalk and 6-1 on Monday. San Diego returned home off a 5-1 road trip and got swept by the Dodgers, including a 1-0 loss on Sunday, managing just four runs in the three-game series. The Padres have no dropped five straight home games, but they remain on surges of 19-10 overall, 7-3 in series openers and 20-8 against winning teams.
The Padres are 6-0 against San Francisco this year, allowing just eight runs in the six games. San Diego has also won 10 of the last 12 clashes at Petco Park, including a three-game sweep last month. Cain squared off against the Padres and Richard on Wednesday, giving up five runs on six hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 5-2 loss. He is 2-1 with a 2.91 ERA in his last three starts, and while the Giants have won four of Cain’s last five starts when he’s coming off four days off, they’ve lost seven of his last 10 as a favorite, 19 of his last 26 when he faces winning teams and six of his last seven against the N.L. West.
Additionally, San Francisco is 3-12 in Cain’s last 15 starts versus the Padres, against whom the right-hander is 4-7 with a 3.12 ERA in 20 starts, including 1-4 with a 2.89 ERA in nine contests at Petco Park. This will be his third start against San Diego this season and he has yet to get a victory, allowing a combined seven runs on 13 hits in 13 2/3 innings (4.61 ERA).
Richard allowed two runs on seven hits in seven innings in Wednesday’s 5-2 victory over Cain in San Francisco. He is 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA in his last three outings and 1-1 with a 2.78 ERA at home this year. In two starts against the Giants this season, he has allowed a combined three runs on 14 hits in 13 1/3 innings (2.03 ERA), and the Padres won both contests. For his career, Richard is 1-1 with a 4.67 ERA in three games against San Francisco (17 1/3 innings). When Richard throws, the Padres are on streaks of 8-3 at home, 4-1 when he’s a home ‘dog and 5-0 when he faces winning teams. The Giants are on “under” runs of 3-1-2 overall, 9-1-1 against N.L. West teams and 6-2 on the road against left-handers, and behind Cain the under is on surges of 9-4 on the road, 10-3 as a road favorite, 7-3 when he’s coming off four days of rest. The Padres are on a plethora of “under” streaks, including 38-18-4 overall (8-0-1 last nine), 3-0 at home, 35-16-2 against N.L. West teams, 5-0-1 against right-handers, 20-7-1 against winning teams, 6-2-3 in Richard’s last 11 starts overall and 5-0-3 in his last eight as an underdog. Finally, in this rivalry, the under has cashed in 15 of the last 21 meetings – going 7-0-1 in the last eight – and five straight battles in San Diego have stayed low.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (19-19) at N.Y. Yankees (24-13)

Baseball’s biggest rivalry resumes at Yankee Stadium when the Red Sox and Yankees kick off a three-game series with Daisuke Matsuzaka (2-1, 6.35 ERA) scheduled to pitch for the visitors opposite Philip Hughes (5-0, 1.38 ERA). Both teams lost Sunday, with the Red Sox falling in Detroit 5-1, while the Yankees were tripped up at home by the Twins 6-3. Boston has dropped three of its last four and is in further slumps of 1-5 on the road, 9-19 against A.L. East teams and 6-18 against winning teams. New York has dropped five of eight overall, but it remains on positive runs of 50-12 at home, 44-11 against right-handers at home, 44-15 against A.L. East teams and 44-19 against winning teams. This is the third series between these rivals this season, but the first in New York. The Yankees have won four of the six meetings, including two of three 10 days ago at Fenway Park. New York is 13-3 in the last 16 series clashes, and it has beaten the Red Sox seven straight times inside Yankee Stadium. Matsuzaka is making just his fourth start of the season, and he’s coming off his best outing to date as he limited the Blue Jays to one run on three hits in seven innings while striking out nine in a 6-1 victory Tuesday. In his seven career starts against the Yankees, he is 3-3 with a 5.49 ERA.
With Matsuzaka on the hill, the Red Sox are on runs of 38-15 overall, 17-6 on the road, 8-1 against winning teams, 22-8 when he gets five days off and 13-6 when he faces A.L. East opponents. Hughes has won each of his last three starts, compiling a 0.86 ERA, allowing two runs in 21 innings. The Yankees have won eight of his last 10 starts dating back to last year and he has not allowed an opponent to score more than two runs in any outing this season. On Wednesday, he blanked the Tigers on five hits over seven innings of an 8-0 win. Also, Hughes shut down the Red Sox on May 7, allowing two runs on seven hits in seven innings of a 10-3 win. With Hughes pitching, the Yankees have won five straight against winning teams, five straight when he gets four days off and four of five at home against winning teams. The Red Sox are on “over” runs of 6-3-1 overall, 20-8-2 in series openers, 7-3-1 against winning teams and 4-0 on Monday, but behind Matsuzaka they’re on “under” streaks of 15-7 on the road and 6-1 when he faces a winning team. The Yankees carry “under” trends of 6-1 overall, 22-7 when they face winning teams at home and 8-2-2 on Monday, but they’ve topped the total in five of seven when Hughes gets four days off and four straight when Hughes faces A.L. East teams Finally, in this rivalry, the over has been the play in five of the six clashes this season, but the “under” has cashed in five of the last six battles in the Bronx.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jr. O'Donnell (RedZone Sports) free internet play:

Analysis:
JR O going powerful tonight as the Red Hot Florida Marlins, who have steam rolled 4 straight, grab #5 tonight behind Volstad. The Marlins have been hitting on a torrid pace, .325 BAA the last few games and have scored at least 8 runs in this stretch. Edwin Jackson has been awful and tonight his woes continue as he allows a ton of runs on the road and has a 13+ ERA in 3 road starts.
The -150 lead here is about as high as our camp will go. However, Jackson, 0-3 and with a 10+ ERA vs. Florida and the Marlins red hot right now, all add up to an easy FISH win. JR's power ratings on this baby have the Marlins a solid 2 run winner.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Joker's Bet of the Day:
Back Under 2.5 Goals at [1.8] in Padova v Ascoli

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RW Sports
soccer: win/loss: 29-27-4, net profit: +5.86 units, yield: 9.7%
other sports: win/loss: 3-5, net profit: -2.71 units, yield: -31.8%

soccer bets for monday

english league 1
charlton - swindon, charlton, 1 unit, 1.95 @ tote
charlton - swindon, over 2.5 goals, 1 unit, 2.07 @ pinnacle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Grad betting

SW1 OREBRO - TRELLEBORG
bet on OREBRO @1,70

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dunkel

Today's NBA Picks

Phoenix at LA Lakers

The Lakers look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games when playing with 3 or more days of rest. LA is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MAY 17
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: Phoenix at LA Lakers (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 120.837; LA Lakers 128.375
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-6); Under

 

[tgunn11]

Sports Investment Group

MLB - BALTIMORE (-130),
MLB - PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+100)
MLB - Arizona/Florida OVER 9 (-115)